Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.220906 11.348466 12.561367 13.965129 15.547594 17.279196 19.321392
2025-08-17 8.243260 9.746495 11.481218 13.639473 16.264248 19.367342 23.335161
2025-08-24 6.912543 8.611726 10.691443 13.443062 17.015962 21.536275 27.748439
2025-08-31 5.979159 7.788284 10.117211 13.367723 17.838893 23.848412 32.664874
2025-09-07 5.394473 7.309239 9.887409 13.663153 19.136703 26.915311 39.046138
2025-09-14 4.805260 6.734780 9.435380 13.559637 19.820974 29.171525 44.579150
2025-09-21 4.276716 6.173762 8.920712 13.274341 20.162410 30.919812 49.559684
2025-09-28 3.883645 5.759934 8.562980 13.160791 20.720935 33.036421 55.422765
2025-10-05 3.683118 5.609637 8.577786 13.615656 22.225633 36.862388 64.803133
2025-10-12 3.495856 5.456723 8.565337 14.012731 23.667320 40.758020 74.952297
2025-10-19 3.268693 5.214996 8.380383 14.089004 24.545790 43.754621 83.890635
2025-10-26 3.024727 4.921351 8.077650 13.919864 24.947645 45.905175 91.489719
2025-11-02 2.789035 4.625853 7.752393 13.690101 25.237694 47.941749 99.369037
2025-11-09 2.576898 4.352740 7.441231 13.452914 25.485821 49.937969 107.569989
2025-11-16 2.399682 4.125620 7.190635 13.301673 25.883866 52.299623 117.074359
2025-11-23 2.254014 3.942402 7.002478 13.249252 26.474640 55.155320 128.331973
2025-11-30 2.168039 3.860747 6.994852 13.553595 27.855731 59.962136 145.454554
2025-12-07 2.040696 3.690705 6.802677 13.457180 28.347681 62.807151 158.112068
2025-12-14 1.904096 3.492007 6.537171 13.177462 28.389834 64.589308 168.276611
2025-12-21 1.798239 3.344423 6.359759 13.066484 28.803035 67.332875 181.753797
2025-12-28 1.758425 3.323606 6.435731 13.518576 30.607874 73.873811 207.972228
2026-01-04 1.714639 3.291054 6.484068 13.912950 32.326276 80.484821 236.137517
2026-01-11 1.644243 3.198613 6.398418 13.988869 33.255980 85.126794 259.206772